The Myth of White Genocide
An Unfinished Civil War Inspires a Global Delusion
Numbers from the article:
- 56million people in South Africa
- 8% are white, own 72% of the rural land
- 7million are Afrikaners (of Dutch descent)
- 81% are black, own 4% of rural land
- 5million squatters
- 14million live in extreme poverty
- 13,310 are white living in squatter camps
- 2017: 20,000 killed, 62 were white
Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF)
- Black dominated political party championing land redistribution
- Hold 25 of 400 National Assembly Seats
- Leader Says: Have more black children as a political weapon.
ANC-Led Government of South Africa (GOSA)
- Averse to Nationalizing Land
- ANC Charter: “The Land Shall Be Shared Among Those Who Work It!”
- 1994, Whites Would Not Sell Land at Fair Market Prices
- Zimbabwe and Mozambique Land Redistribution Models Unacceptable
- Government of South Africa Prefers Individual Ownership, Direct State Ownership, Trusts, Communal Land Custodianship. But, doesn’t know how to get there without international outcry or shedding white blood. The latter of which would take the matter away from being about reaching economic reconciliation and equality and force the Western dominated world media to portray it as white genocide. A most unenviable position for GOSA.
Principles, Key Factors:
- Rule of Law
- 25% of Total Population Live in Extreme Poverty
Township Images: From Harper’s
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Just looking at the numbers above and comparing them to the principles below them, I don’t see how South African society can remain as it is indefinitely.
There can be no real or sustainable democracy, rule of law or reconciliation until matters of the unequal distribution of wealth, including land ownership, are resolved. Something must give.
Democracy cannot go on if unequal wealth and land distribution continues. To make things more equitable may require autocratic means.
Rule of law cannot be maintained if 25% of the population remains in extreme poverty.
Reconciliation has to mean doing something about inequality.
An American friend, a long-time expatriate resident in South Africa, reacts to the Harper’s article as follows:
The African and European elites probably are colour-blind. The only colour they’ve learned to recognize is the colour of money. But down at the bottom of the scale, people translate money into racial politics – it’s more emotional.
Perhaps the difficulties of establishing genuine democracy also lead back to what I call the Vacuum Law throughout Africa. In the whole continent majorities are not really represented, and small minorities in country after country take over in various forms of dictatorship. Indeed, South Africa is probably the country that comes a bit closer nowadays to tapping that majority view point in a democratic dispensation, and so reconciliation and rational progress figure high in most peoples’ agendas, when they are sober.
When I listen to my white neighbours, ‘reconciliation’ is hardly what they voice. They voice hatred. But people in crowds and social occasions are likely to voice such dramatic poses. When attitudes are measured more subtly, as done by the above Institute, a much more moderate picture emerges. The same goes for the black community.
In modern times, generally, the pursuit of wealth and power is usually pursued by any means legal. Then, when that fail illegal means are legalized or taken up outside of the law. In this pursuit the top and bottom of society do not hesitate to use racial, tribal politics – emotion trumps reason especially among the long-suffering, severely impoverished at the bottom.
I may be wrong and my friend’s take is correct. But I can’t help wondering if he is, in fact, wishfully, hopefully exaggerating the notion that “when attitudes are measured subtly (as done by the South African Institute on Race Relations), a much more moderate picture emerges. The same goes for the black community.” That his “mixture of loyalties” is less the case than is a trembling gunpowder keg of emotion, especially among impoverished and relatively powerless blacks. I hope my friend’s notion of a continuation of reason, deliberation, moderation and patience will carry the day.
Whites will not take the initiative to precipitate the last stand, if there is to be one as some white supremacists call it. That is, to “fight it out, and let’s die like men” as white South African reactionary Simon Roche puts it. The whites have guns and passion but not enough bodies to survive a war of attrition.
Blacks have already taken a stand, come up with a strategy, and begun the battle. That is, just as they did in ousting apartheid – organize, mobilize, then slowly, deliberatively, one open patch of land, one farm, one act of violent protest or sabotage at a time.
The period from the National Party’s implementation of apartheid in 1948 to Independence in 1994 covered 46 years. It’s been 25 years since Independence. Black South Africans have time on their side and they know it.
The ANC-dominated GOSA, for the time being, has no choice but relegate itself the role of the good-faith face of the black majority. When enough of the black insurgency measures mentioned achieve a critical mass of carnage and/or economic decline, the government will be forced to step in. In doing so they will try and take credit as the peace maker, ‘saving’ the whites from annihilation and declaring blacks the winners. It will then position itself as the guiding force and administrator for restructuring and redirecting the society, probably through some scheme of land ownership reform.
Now, all that said, s*** can happen. Events and circumstances can emerge that defy reason and circumvent GOSA contingency planning. Donald Rumsfeld called such unexpected factors “unknown unknowns”:
A combination of factors and circumstances may come into being that push GOSA to take immediate, autocratic action. Either side, black or white, could precipitate such a situation of urgency, such as suddenly emerging and dire social or economic conditions they think are favorable to their cause. Or, such circumstances could just come together seemingly on their own and force the government’s hand. Such forced autocratic methods would be the worst possible scenario and all bets would be off.
Arriving at a turning point seems to be inevitable. GOSA cannot put off some form of intervention, be it autocratic or parliamentary. Their hand, like the hand of the white apartheid government in 1993-1994 before them, will likely be forced by the black majority’s strategy. Then, true democracy, rule of law and, most important of all, reconciliation will be within reach.